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USD
ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI came in at 56.7 vs 57.1 as expected.
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The US Congressional Budget Office lowered its estimates of the US fiscal deficit for the 2019 fiscal year. They now see the deficit at $897 billion compared to the $981 billion deficit in the April estimate. That's 4.2% of GDP instead of 4.6%. The cost of government shutdown has been projected at $11bn.
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IMF cut the global growth forecast to 3.5% for 2019 which is the lowest in 3 years; they see growth in 2020 to be at 3.6%.
On Monday most banks and financial institutions will be closed in the US due to Martin Luther King’s day so liquidity in the markets will be thinner than usual, causing higher spreads and more volatile movements.
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FED’s George, who is the most hawkish member of the FED, also acknowledged that FED can be patient and wait with rate hikes.
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December non-manufacturing PMI came in at 57.6 vs 59.0 as expected with prior reading being 60.7. Reading is a five-month low and the only bright point is that new orders ticked up higher.
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The final Manufacturing PMI for the month of December came in at 53.8 vs 53.9 as expected.
Please note that due to the New Year holidays, liquidity in the markets will be thin which can potentially lead to increased volatility and higher spreads, be sure to plan your trading accordingly.
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This week we will have the final PMI numbers for the month of December and on Friday the NFP data will be announced.
Please note that due to Christmas holidays liquidity in the markets will be thin which can potentially lead to increased volatility in the markets.
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Housing starts came in at 1256k vs 1228k as expected and building permits data came in at 1328k vs 1260k as expected.
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CPI data for the month of November came in at 2.2% y/y as expected. Monthly figure came in unchanged as expected. The budget deficit for the month of November came in at $204.9bn vs $100.5bn the previous month.
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The November Manufacturing PMI came in at 55.3 vs 55.4 as expected but ISM Manufacturing PMI came in at 59.3 vs 57.5 as expected for a huge beat.
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